Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001100 0.001249 0.001400 0.001563 0.001734 0.001907 0.002096
2025-06-08 0.000869 0.001083 0.001306 0.001555 0.001822 0.002100 0.002407
2025-06-15 0.000740 0.001005 0.001291 0.001618 0.001978 0.002356 0.002782
2025-06-22 0.000577 0.000872 0.001203 0.001592 0.002028 0.002495 0.003026
2025-06-29 0.000466 0.000786 0.001158 0.001606 0.002117 0.002671 0.003309
2025-07-06 0.000423 0.000775 0.001196 0.001712 0.002306 0.002956 0.003709
2025-07-13 0.000323 0.000681 0.001127 0.001687 0.002344 0.003069 0.003917
2025-07-20 0.000225 0.000575 0.001035 0.001629 0.002337 0.003129 0.004061
2025-07-27 0.000183 0.000541 0.001029 0.001671 0.002444 0.003315 0.004345
2025-08-03 0.000130 0.000478 0.000981 0.001657 0.002483 0.003421 0.004538
2025-08-10 0.000068 0.000383 0.000881 0.001573 0.002434 0.003424 0.004610
2025-08-17 0.000036 0.000332 0.000836 0.001555 0.002462 0.003511 0.004777
2025-08-24 0.000004 0.000246 0.000745 0.001492 0.002455 0.003585 0.004959
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000191 0.000692 0.001476 0.002508 0.003730 0.005227
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000169 0.000693 0.001534 0.002652 0.003986 0.005625
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000120 0.000634 0.001505 0.002686 0.004109 0.005869
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000091 0.000606 0.001517 0.002771 0.004292 0.006182
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000091 0.000639 0.001619 0.002971 0.004616 0.006660
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000058 0.000589 0.001594 0.003006 0.004736 0.006899
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000027 0.000522 0.001536 0.002994 0.004798 0.007067
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000019 0.000518 0.001577 0.003111 0.005018 0.007421
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000007 0.000482 0.001563 0.003154 0.005145 0.007664
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000409 0.001481 0.003101 0.005152 0.007761